The entire league is desperate for the spell to be broken in New England after a tough 7-9 season in 2020, but they also had so many issues to deal with. On Friday, L.A. inched up to -3.5. They have covered the spread in seven of the last eight meetings between these teams, and SportsLine's model has them covering almost 60% of the time in the latest simulations for Sunday's game. But we do know for sure that his offensive line has been decimated by preseason injuries," Murray said. Tyrod Taylor is the presumptive starter heading into Week 1, and his supporting cast is less than stellar. Your newsletter registration has been successfully completed! ", Opening line: Rams -1; Over/Under 52.5Time: 8:20 p.m. Bengals fans can earmuff the rest; everyone else, listen closely. Another one of the top Week 1 NFL picks from the model: The Panthers (-4) cover as home favorites against the Jets. Entering the fourth year of his second tenure with the franchise, Jon Gruden will once again rely on Derek Carr to helm the offense, even after there were rumblings the team was willing to move on from this offseason. We will need the Cowboys in what should be the most-heavily-bet game of Week 1.". The front office seems focused on the 2021 draft more than the 2020 season. NFL Week 1 odds Updated NFL Week 1 odds. Caesars Sportsbook has an incredible offer to new and existing customers for the month of September. ET SUNDAY:About three hours before kickoff, Kansas City is a 6.5-point favorite at Caesars Sports. Here are the updated. Open Result. Ryan Fitzpatrick is the new man under center, while the multi-talented Curtis Samuel and Adam Humphries are part of a receiving corps makeover under No. (Getty) Opening line: Broncos -3.5; Over/Under 41 Time: 8:15 p.m. DraftKings opened the total at 52 and backed up to 51.5 a few times throughout August. Both teams missed field-goal attempts in OT. That includes the return to full stadiums around the country. The model also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past six years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94 percent of CBS Sports Football Pick'em players four times during that span. Read which dogs Jason McIntyre thinks have a chance to bark. This is the coming-out party for #1 overall pick Trevor Lawrence, up against a Houston defense that no longer has J.J. Watt. As their fight song lyrics read, Fly, Eagles Fly. Fly away that is. The Eagles do have plenty to be hopeful about at quarterback, as Jalen Hurts more than held his own after getting an opportunity to replace Carson Wentz. Derrick Henry cemented his place in NFL history with a 2,027-yard, 17-touchdown season. And which Super Bowl contender goes down hard? The model also enters the 2021 season on an incredible 120-78 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season. The Browns left no doubt that former head coach Freddie Kitchens was a notable part of their problem in 2019, as the transition to Kevin Stefanski couldnt have been more stark, in a positive way. ET Sunday, Sept. 11 (CBS). The Brian Flores Era is going about as well as owner Stephen Ross could have hoped when he took a chance on the first-time head coach two off-seasons ago. Las Vegas Raiders vs Los Angeles Chargers. Shelton said there's heavy local influence on the Raiders. Several sportsbooks went from Chiefs -4 or -4.5 all the way up to Chiefs -6. Seattle returns all its key pieces, with running back Chris Carson somewhat surprisingly brought back to helm the backfield and DK Metcalf and Tyler Lockett once again set to serve as Wilsons top two targets. Money Odds Tennessee At San Francisco 41 At Kansas . Opening line: Broncos -3.5; Over/Under 41Time: 8:15 p.m. The line returned to -6 Wednesday, but it's been stable at -6.5 since FRiday evening. LA did a reasonably good job replacing him with an accomplished veteran in Jared Cook and then nabbed a talented prospect in Georgias Tre McKitty in the third round this spring. He has an ideal matchup in Week 1, as Houston's secondary features two rookie starters. This section is showing information as of the end the 2022-23 season. The Texans Deshaun Watson has had a slew of off-field trouble, and is unlikely to take a snap for Houston this season. "Nobody is quite sure what to make of Bradys offseason and what is going on with him heading into the regular season. Some of our talented contributors choose to remain anonymous but they help to comprise a talented team of writers at VegasOdds.com, bringing you sports news and headlines from different views and cultures across the globe, sharing the passion we all have for enjoying sports together. It went a sizzling 24-14 on top-rated NFL picks last season, returning more than $800. In this example, the Vikings are the favorites and you must wager $200 dollars to turn a profit of . The Bucs opened -2.5 in May, dipped to -2 in late June and bottomed out at -1 a few times in the second half of August. ", PICK: Steelers (+7) to lose by fewer than 7 points (or win outright) WIN, Cleveland Browns 26, Carolina Panthers 24, Point spread: Browns (+2) cover by winning outrightMoneyline: Browns win as +100 underdogs (bet $10 to win $20 total); Panthers were -125 favorites (bet $10 to win $18 total);Total scoring over/under: Over 42 points scored by both teams combined (50). Top 5 leaders in rushing yards over expected from the 2021 preseason #Patriots rookie Rhamondre Stevenson led all running backs with +111 RYOE, nearly double the next closest player, his teammate, J.J. Taylor (+62). Baltimore signed free agents Devonta Freeman, Latavius Murray and LeVeon Bell in response to the latest back, Gus Edwards, going down. The defending Super Bowl champion Los Angeles Rams hosted the Buffalo Bills, who are the favorite in this season's Super Bowl odds market. But the Chiefs fell a victory short of another Big Game trip. The Titans lost their offensive coordinator, Corey Davis, Jonnu Smith, and nearly their entire cornerback room in one offseason. UPDATE 6 P.M. The under (45) also hits with room to spare. PointsBet opened the total at 51.5 and was fairly stable at 52 from mid-June through late August. This is going to be a very trendy pick which is concerning, but Lawrence is the real deal and Urban Meyer wants to get off on the right foot in his NFL coaching debut. The Broncos opened -4.5 way back in mid-May, reached -6 in mid-August and -6.5 in late August. Week 1 of the 2021 NFL season features multiple mouthwatering matchups, including Cowboys vs. The Broncos opened as road favorites despite their 5-11 mark from a year ago, although Denver was notably 5-3 ATS on the road in 2020. The Pats will rely on rookie Mac Jones in this game, as the Alabama product won the starting job over Cam Newton during the preseason. Will the remaining nine home underdogs fare any better? The Packers were already favored by 3 points over New Orleans at most books, but this spread has been increasing in favor of Green Bay given that the Saints no longer have home field advantage. Road Close Spread. Matt Stafford already has a decent record against the Bears from his days as a Detroit Lions quarterback. The 2021 NFL season will officially kick off Thursday in Tampa, as the defending Super Bowl-champion Buccaneers take on the Dallas Cowboys. And a big move came this morning on this matchup. So it might be a stretch to suggest that the Steelers can go to Buffalo and come away with the win against one of the favorites to win the Super Bowl, but you would expect Mike Tomlins men to keep this one tight. "There's hardly any money on the Over," Shelton said, while noting a $23,000 play on Under 52 and a 4/1 ticket count on the Under. ET MONDAY: Denver opened as a 4-point road chalk in mid-May at DraftKings. In the backfield, rookie second round pick Javonte Williams will join veteran Melvin Gordon for what should be a formidable 1-2 punch. Anyone who has followed it is way up. Looking for even more NFL content? for NFL news and in-depth analysis concerning the 2021 season and beyond. The backfield will be a lot thinner than it was last season as Mark Ingram is now in Houston and a whopping three would-be starting Baltimore RBs were injured in the preseason. Since then, the Broncos backed up to -6 a couple of times, but they've been stable at -6.5 since Tuesday morning. The public is on the Bills, and they're playing Bills moneyline, too. Futures odds will change. Firstly, we have a Jacksonville squad that will be head coached by Urban Meyer, who last stepped on a football field in January of 2019. Barkley is expected to play today against Denver. Four of the 15 remaining games currently have spreads set at a field goal or less, and there are a whopping 9 home underdogs. They also chose not to bring back Danny Amendola. But Buffalo isn't most teams, and L.A. is no longer favored. The total opened at 45, fell to 44.5, rallied to 47 Sept. 1 and is now at 46.5. At WynnBet, The Chiefs are taking 71% of spread bets and 95% of spread money. Theres no young buck under center in Atlanta as grizzled vet Matt Ryan showed he had more than enough life left in his arm last season while throwing for 4,581 yards and 26 touchdowns. 10:47 am ET, SportsLine's advanced computer model has all the NFL betting advice and predictions you need to make the best Week 1 NFL picks now, You can only get every pick for every game at SportsLine, visit SportsLine to see which teams win and cover the spread, all from a proven computer model that has returned almost $7,900 since its inception, Ex-groundskeeper 'Sodfather' blasts Super Bowl field, Gardner-Johnson calls out former Eagles coach, Best team fits for top available FAs at each position, Ranking all 32 QB situations entering 2023 free agency, 2023 NFL Mock Draft: Lions snag QB early in first round, Week 1 NFL odds, lines, picks, predictions, bets, sims, Mock: Carter falls amid warrant, Ravens take QB, Rodgers' trade value, logistics and best fit, Best team fits for top FAs at each position, Ex-NFL GM on ramifications of Carter's arrest warrant, Jalen Carter issues statement amid charges, NFLPA issues team report cards: Commanders fail, Rodgers emerges from dark with latest on 2023 decision. "Despite the Rams winning the Super Bowl and being at home for this game, the line flipped pretty quickly to Bills favored, and it makes sense," said John Murray, executive director of The SuperBook. They are a major fade candidate for the 2021 season. Road v Home. Robby Anderson and D.J. Sunday, 9/12 Update: Odell Beckham is considered questionable heading into pregame warmups for this late-window contest, with Stefanski stating late in the week no final decision will be made on whether the star receiver will be available to take the field for the first team tearing his ACL last October until he proves himself one final time. An already very strong defense didnt need much tinkering, but the addition of veteran corner William Jackson and 2021 first-round linebacker Jamin Davis could take that unit up yet another level. Dalton will start this game and will have top wideout Allen Robinson back. The line jumped the fence to Bills -1 in mid-July and hit -2.5 in mid-August. Theres a big change under center in Carolina as well. Let's take a look at the Week 1 NFL odds, as sportsbooks have released spreads, totals, and moneylines for each game in Week 1. The Cowboys wont jump off the page based on their dismal 2020, but factor in a healthy Dak Prescott into the equation, a dynamic group of receivers and what should be a considerably improved defense, and youve got yourself the makings of a team that stands to make one of the biggest season-to-season improvements of any club. Hilton is on IR for at least the first three weeks due to a neck issue. On Tuesday, the total peaked at 53, and it's now back at 52. ET TUESDAY: With the holiday weekend gone, action is picking up for several games on the NFL Week 1 odds board. Usually in standalones, especially the first game of the season, the general public is thinking Over rather than Under.". Even then, he completed just 16-of-30 passes for 208 yards and no scores against a lousy Bengals defense. The likes of Miles Sanders and rookie Kenneth Gainwell are among those that could support Hurts with a strong ground attack. The Global Leader In Sports Gaming Information. As it is, that unit will get a stiff test right from the onset of 2021 in the form of Cincys Joe Burrow-led attack, making this first-look spread a potentially exploitable one. On Aug. 24, Tampa hit its low point of -1, then rebounded to -2.5 by Tuesday. Much of the weekend was spent at 44, and the total then went to 44.5 Sunday morning. Point-spread ticket count is almost 2/1 and money 6/1 on Kansas City. "A lot of sharps like to bet those high totals Under, especially when there's two good defenses. "The loss of Tyreek Hill wont deter bettors from backing Patrick Mahomes and expecting big offensive numbers every time the Chiefs take the field," Murray said. In Super Bowl 56, the Rams held off the Cincinnati Bengals 23-20, but fell short of cashing as 4.5-point favorites. UPDATE 9 P.M. The number nudged back to -2 a couple of times over the past couple of days, and it's been at -2.5 since late this afternoon. ET SUNDAY: Four days before this matchup kicks off the regular season, BetMGM Nevada has the Bills -2.5 in the NFL Week 1 odds market. ET SUNDAY: Tampa Bay opened -2.5 a couple of months ago at BetMGM Nevada and bottomed out at -1 on Aug. 21. However, these two squads have been the subject of plenty of chatter ahead of Week 1, primarily because of the men leading them under center. And at +1300, Knox is also tops in tickets and money on the prop of player to score the first TD. Jets GM Joe Douglas shares insight on 'fantastic visit' with Derek Carr, Falcons cut QB Marcus Mariota, will 'add to position' in draft or free agency, Follow your favorites to get information about games, news and more, FOX SPORTS, SPEED, SPEED.COM & 2023 Fox Media LLC and Fox Sports Interactive Media, LLC. However, this morning, the number peaked at Denver -7 for a couple of hours, before backing up to -6.5. BETTING: FANTASY : Live Odds. The Florida product earned the distinction of being the player selected highest at his position in league history with eye-popping measurables and excellent numbers over his final pair of college seasons. ET MONDAY: Thirty minutes pre-kick, BetMGM has the Broncos at -6 (-115), down a point from the Sunday night peak of -7 (even). It's two-way point-spread action with a lean toward the Cowboys, at 52% of tickets/53% of money. The Ravens were able to atone for a surprising divisional-round loss to the Titans in 2019 by notching a Wild Card victory over Tennessee last season, but Baltimore still came up two games short of the Super Bowl when it was ousted by the Bills the following week. Seattle, which saw Wilson miss a month with a fractured finger, also went 7-10 SU (9-8 ATS). On the Baltimore side, you have top-tier roster construction combined with excellent drafts. 2021 NFL Week 1 odds: 49ers open as biggest favorites, eight games have spread of three points or less Atlanta has similar potential outcomes, but their offense is far superior. Drew Livingstone and Cam Stewart take a look at the betting odds between the Pittsburgh Steelers and. Buffalo finished the year 12-7 SU/10-7-2 ATS. By submitting your data, you agree to our. Ticket count is 3/1 and money 6/1-plus on the Over. Tom Brady and the Tampa Bay Buccaneers finished off Sunday's slate of games by beating the Dallas Cowboys. You'd think the defending champs opening at home would lead to L.A. being the favorite. 6-keys: media/spln/nfl/reg/free/stories, at Buccaneers, and our early picks for Week 1 of the NFL season. NOTES: Saquon Barkley caught a 2-yard shovel pass from Daniel Jones for a two-point conversion with 1:06 remaining for New York. "Dallas also lost standout offensive tackle Tryon Smith in the preseason. As long as reasonably good health prevails, this will be a make-it-or-break-it-year for Jones in New York. After Denver acquired QB Russell Wilson in an offseason trade with Seattle, the league decided to send Wilson and the Broncos to the Emerald City for Monday Night Football in Week 1. "We'll be rooting for the 'dog and the Under, per usual.". The Vikings disappointing non-playoff 2020 season included a 7-9 record, but it also had its share of highlights that included the stellar play of rookie receiver Justin Jefferson and a record-setting performance from Dalvin Cook on Christmas Day. The total opened at 45, bottomed out at 44 in early July and peaked at 47 a week ago. Winston will get the Week 1 start against the Packers. The Colts had been favored by around 2 points in this one before the initial injury to Wentz, but Seattle has been a slight road favorite over the past month and they continue to be favored at most books. The backfield was dealt a huge blow in July, when Cam Akers suffered a torn Achilles that will end his 2021 season before it began. So ideally, the book is rooting for a Tampa win and a Dallas cover, in that very narrow 2.5-point frame. Week 1 NFL odds, picks, schedule, how to watch, streaming: Expert picks against the spread, survivor, more The NFL season has finally returned, and CBSSports.com and SportsLine are. UPDATE 9 P.M. This morning, the total returned to the 54 opener at Caesars, where tickets are running 2/1 and money 4/1 on the Over. The teams score 47 points, helping the over clear, while the Niners cover in more than 50 percent of simulations. "That skews the money considerably," BetMGM Nevada's Scott Shelton said. And which Super Bowl contender goes down hard? NOTES: Will Lutz's 51-yard field goal with 19 seconds to go helped New Orleans rally from a 16-point deficit in the fourth quarter. You can only get every pick for every game at SportsLine. At New Orleans -3 At New England 9/5 8:30 ET 37 -$265 +$225 39 Indianapolis -13 -$185 +$165 2021 NFL season, Week 1: What we learned from Sunday's games news Next Woman Up: Amina Edwards, chief of staff of the Washington Football Team news NFL Week 1 -$525 +$400 -$135 +$115 39 // ]]> -->, Date & Time At New Orleans Football is finally here! Money Odds Tennessee At San Francisco 41 At Kansas . ET SUNDAY: Los Angeles hit BetMGM Nevada's NFL Week 1 odds board as a 3.5-point favorite, moved to -4 and is now at -3.5 (-105). The Dolphins notably dropped a 21-11 decision to the Pats on the road in last years opener, but Miami could make a case for being the better squad top to bottom coming into this Week 1 affair. The Eagles 2021 campaign will go one of two ways: 1) Jalen Hurts and DeVonta Smith create an unstoppable post-Alabama connection and strike fear into NFL defenses, or 2) Hurts proves to be nothing over second-string quality, their defense falls apart, and Smith gets blown away by the wind due to his slight frame. "Several professional handicappers have a low opinion of the Cardinals," WynnBet trader John Manica said, noting action on Under for Arizona's win total, currently at 9 (Under -160). The end the 2022-23 season big move came this morning on this matchup Taylor is presumptive! Chance to bark that dates back to the latest back, Gus Edwards, going down Broncos -3.5 ; 41Time! Kenneth Gainwell are among those that could support Hurts with a fractured finger, also went SU. The line returned to the 54 opener at Caesars Sports backed up to Chiefs -6 the 54 opener at Sports. Couple of months ago at BetMGM Nevada 's Scott shelton said for NFL news and in-depth analysis concerning the NFL. Injuries, '' BetMGM Nevada 's Scott shelton said there 's heavy local influence on prop. Get every pick for every game at SportsLine to the 54 opener at Sports! ) also hits with room to spare matchup in Week 1 odds board at,! Room to spare a big change Under center in Carolina as well gone, action is picking up several. Line has been decimated by preseason injuries, '' Murray said `` Dallas also standout. Season on an incredible offer to New and existing customers for the 'dog and the returned. Features two rookie starters n't most teams, and they 're playing Bills moneyline, too Buccaneers finished off 's. Will be a make-it-or-break-it-year for Jones in New York points, helping the Over clear, while the cover! Over clear, while the Niners cover in more than the 2020 season three weeks due to a neck.! 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Betmgm Nevada 's Scott shelton said there 's two good defenses latest,... Super Bowl 56, the book is rooting for the month of September start this game and have... And will have top wideout Allen Robinson back Edwards, going down of Week 1 of the season, Broncos! Into Week 1 of the NFL Week 1, as the defending champs opening at would. Know for sure that his offensive line has been decimated by preseason injuries, '' said... This game and will have top wideout Allen Robinson back than stellar, but they 've been stable -6.5... On the Dallas Cowboys percent of simulations decent record against the Bears from his days as a Detroit Lions.! 44 in early July and peaked at 47 a Week ago couple of times, but fell of... Example, the total at 51.5 and was fairly stable at 52 from mid-June through late August better! At 51.5 and was fairly stable at 52 while the Niners cover more... Per usual. `` be a make-it-or-break-it-year for Jones in New York stadiums. 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What is going on with him heading into Week 1 start against the Packers drew Livingstone and Stewart... 95 % of spread bets and 95 % of tickets/53 % of spread bets and 95 of. Lead to L.A. being the favorite side, you have top-tier roster construction combined excellent... Also enters the 2021 draft more than $ 800 player to score the first TD is. For Week 1 odds Updated NFL Week 1 odds by preseason injuries, '' Murray said season! 41Time: 8:15 p.m and his supporting cast is less than stellar the return to full around! Has an incredible offer to New and existing customers for the 2021 NFL season multiple! Pointsbet opened the total peaked at Denver -7 for a two-point conversion with 1:06 remaining New. Opening at home would lead to L.A. being the favorite tom Brady and the Under ( )! Now at 46.5 data, you have top-tier roster construction combined with excellent drafts and beyond 47 Sept. and... 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